Since the end of 2022, most major Wall Street companies have repeatedly predicted a recession that will hit the US economy this year. But after more than six months of 2023, there are still no signs of the expected reduction in production. In any case, everything looks pretty optimistic: inflation is rapidly decreasing, the labor market is holding, unemployment has bottomed out, and stocks are boiling. Even the highly inverted bond yield curve, considered a classic warning of an impending economic downturn, had little effect on investor sentiment, disconcerting many in markets and...